PERCUSION Weather briefing

Published

September 27, 2024

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-27 15:00 UTC

2024-09-28 15:00 UTC

2024-09-29 15:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-27 15:00 UTC 2024-09-28 15:00 UTC 2024-09-29 15:00 UTC 2024-09-30 12:00 UTC

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-27 15:00 UTC

2024-09-28 15:00 UTC

2024-09-29 15:00 UTC

2024-09-30 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

  • for tomorrow’s flight:
    • deep convection only expected to occur in eastmost circle
    • good chance of sampling doldrums
  • for return flight:
    • tropical disturbance in flight area near Barbados

Supporting figures

Horizontal surface wind convergence

2024-09-27 15:00 UTC 2024-09-28 15:00 UTC 2024-09-29 15:00 UTC 2024-09-30 12:00 UTC

Probabilistic precipitation forecast

2024-09-27 15:00 UTC 2024-09-28 15:00 UTC 2024-09-29 15:00 UTC 2024-09-30 12:00 UTC

Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast

2024-10-01 12:00 UTC 2024-10-02 12:00 UTC 2024-10-01 12:00 UTC 2024-10-02 12:00 UTC