PERCUSION Weather briefing
Current synoptic situation
NHC surface analysis
NHC tropical weather outlook
NHC tropical Hovmöller
Latest satellite images
GOES yesterday’s image
GOES latest image
GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image
ECMWF Forecasts
2024-09-25 15:00 UTC
2024-09-26 15:00 UTC
2024-09-27 15:00 UTC
2024-09-28 12:00 UTC
2024-09-29 12:00 UTC
2024-09-30 12:00 UTC
Ensemble forecasts of moist margins
Ensemble forecasts of moist margins
Total aerosol optical depth
Local forecast for Barbados
Summary
- Thursday’s flight (PI Jakob):
- Southeastern and south circle likely on moist margins.
- Northwestern and center circle inside moist margins.
- Deep convection expected over northwestern flight area
- Saturday’s flight (PI Julia):
- Western circles likely outside moist margins. Eastern circles likely inside moist margins Middle circles likely to sample the doldrums.
- No large areas of deep convection expected along the flight track.
- Possible tropical cyclone development to the north of the track.
Supporting figures
Horizontal surface wind convergence
Probabilistic precipitation forecast
Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast