PERCUSION Weather briefing

Published

September 20, 2024

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-20 15:00 UTC

2024-09-21 15:00 UTC

2024-09-22 15:00 UTC

2024-09-23 12:00 UTC

2024-09-24 12:00 UTC

2024-09-25 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-20 15:00 UTC 2024-09-21 15:00 UTC 2024-09-22 15:00 UTC 2024-09-23 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-20 15:00 UTC 2024-09-20 15:00 UTC

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-20 15:00 UTC

2024-09-21 15:00 UTC

2024-09-22 15:00 UTC

2024-09-23 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

  • Tomorrow’s flight:
    • flight inside the moist margins.
    • western circle on the moist margin.
    • likely to sample the doldrums north, along earthcare track.
    • no deep convection expected for the flight.
  • Monday’s flight:
    • flight inside the moist margins.
    • potential for deep convection during the flight, specially on the two eastern circles.

Supporting figures

Horizontal surface wind convergence

2024-09-20 15:00 UTC 2024-09-21 15:00 UTC 2024-09-22 15:00 UTC 2024-09-23 12:00 UTC

Probabilistic precipitation forecast

2024-09-20 15:00 UTC 2024-09-21 15:00 UTC 2024-09-22 15:00 UTC 2024-09-23 12:00 UTC

Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast

2024-09-24 12:00 UTC 2024-09-25 12:00 UTC 2024-09-24 12:00 UTC 2024-09-25 12:00 UTC