PERCUSION Weather briefing

Published

September 11, 2024

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-11 15:00 UTC

2024-09-12 15:00 UTC

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC

2024-09-14 12:00 UTC

2024-09-15 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-11 15:00 UTC 2024-09-12 15:00 UTC 2024-09-13 15:00 UTC 2024-09-14 12:00 UTC

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-11 15:00 UTC

2024-09-12 15:00 UTC

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC

2024-09-14 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

  • For tomorrow’s flight:
    • all circles are forecasted to lie within the ITCZ
    • the two northern circles will likely sample the Doldrums
    • mostly shallow convection expected
  • For next flight:
    • southern edge of the ITCZ far south and close to land
    • position of northern edge of the ITCZ uncertain due to incoming tropical wave