PERCUSION Weather briefing

Published

September 13, 2024

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC

2024-09-14 15:00 UTC

2024-09-15 15:00 UTC

2024-09-16 12:00 UTC

2024-09-17 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC 2024-09-14 15:00 UTC 2024-09-15 15:00 UTC 2024-09-16 12:00 UTC

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC

2024-09-14 15:00 UTC

2024-09-15 15:00 UTC

2024-09-16 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

  • Tomorrows’s flight:
    • High likelihood to sample a well-defined ITCZ.
    • Likely to sample the doldrums on the norther circle.
    • Northern circle likely to be within the ITCZ. Yet, ITCZ moist margin is still uncertain.
  • Monday’s flight:
    • Still high uncertainty of moist margins due to TD Seven.
    • Souther moist margin better defined in latest forecasts.

Supporting figures

Horizontal surface wind convergence

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC 2024-09-14 15:00 UTC 2024-09-15 15:00 UTC 2024-09-16 12:00 UTC