PERCUSION Weather briefing
Current synoptic situation
NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images
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ECMWF Forecasts
2024-09-09 12:00 UTC

2024-09-10 12:00 UTC

2024-09-11 12:00 UTC

2024-09-12 12:00 UTC

2024-09-13 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth





Local forecast for Barbados

Summary
- Today’s flight:
- ITCZ widens east of the flight path. Northern circle placed north and west of edges with strong ICWV gradients.
- Middle circle may sample the doldrums.
- Middle and perhaps northern circles prone to strong convective activity.
- Next flight:
- Very uncertain forecast of ITCZ moist margins
- Good chance of sampling the doldrums.
- Likely to have a low pressure system north of the flight tracks. Currently with 40% to 60% chances of development.