PERCUSION Weather briefing

2024-09-27

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-27 15:00 UTC

2024-09-28 15:00 UTC

2024-09-29 15:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-27 15:00 UTC

2024-09-28 15:00 UTC

2024-09-29 15:00 UTC

2024-09-30 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

• for tomorrow’s flight:
  • deep convection only expected to occur in eastmost circle
  • good chance of sampling doldrums
• for return flight:
  • tropical disturbance in flight area near Barbados

Supporting figures

Horizontal surface wind convergence

Probabilistic precipitation forecast

Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast