PERCUSION Weather briefing

Published

September 4, 2024

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-04 12:00 UTC

2024-09-05 12:00 UTC

2024-09-06 12:00 UTC

2024-09-07 12:00 UTC

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-04 12:00 UTC 2024-09-05 12:00 UTC 2024-09-06 12:00 UTC 2024-09-07 12:00 UTC

Saharan dust forecast

2024-09-04 12:00 UTC

2024-09-05 12:00 UTC

2024-09-06 12:00 UTC

2024-09-07 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

  • Overall quite a lot of disturbances in the Atlantic
  • Tomorrow’s transfer flight:
    • No substantial deep convection expected
    • Circles still placed at strongest gradient of integrated column water vapor
  • Saturday’s flight starting from Barbados:
    • Textbook-like ITCZ structure
    • Forecast comparatively certain for flight’s location and long lead time