PERCUSION Weather briefing

Published

September 8, 2024

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC

2024-09-09 12:00 UTC

2024-09-10 12:00 UTC

2024-09-11 12:00 UTC

2024-09-12 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC 2024-09-09 12:00 UTC 2024-09-10 12:00 UTC 2024-09-11 12:00 UTC

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC

2024-09-09 12:00 UTC

2024-09-10 12:00 UTC

2024-09-11 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

  • Tomorrow’s flight:
    • Northern circle should be placed a bit further north
    • Some uncertainty in northern moist margin position
    • Strong northern ITCZ edge with doldrums
  • Next flight:
    • Very uncertain forecast of ITCZ moist margins
    • Uncertainty stemming from tropical wave/disturbance