PERCUSION Weather briefing
Current synoptic situation
NHC surface analysis

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NHC tropical Hovmöller

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ECMWF Forecasts
2024-09-08 12:00 UTC

2024-09-09 12:00 UTC

2024-09-10 12:00 UTC

2024-09-11 12:00 UTC

2024-09-12 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth





Local forecast for Barbados

Summary
- Tomorrow’s flight:
- Northern circle should be placed a bit further north
- Some uncertainty in northern moist margin position
- Strong northern ITCZ edge with doldrums
- Next flight:
- Very uncertain forecast of ITCZ moist margins
- Uncertainty stemming from tropical wave/disturbance