PERCUSION Weather briefing

2024-09-20

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-20 15:00 UTC

2024-09-21 15:00 UTC

2024-09-22 15:00 UTC

2024-09-23 12:00 UTC

2024-09-24 12:00 UTC

2024-09-25 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-20 15:00 UTC

2024-09-21 15:00 UTC

2024-09-22 15:00 UTC

2024-09-23 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

• Tomorrow’s flight:
  • flight inside the moist margins.
  • western circle on the moist margin.
  • likely to sample the doldrums north, along earthcare track.
  • no deep convection expected for the flight.
• Monday’s flight:
  • flight inside the moist margins.
  • potential for deep convection during the flight, specially on the two eastern circles.

Supporting figures

Horizontal surface wind convergence

Probabilistic precipitation forecast

Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast