PERCUSION Weather briefing

2024-09-11

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-11 15:00 UTC

2024-09-12 15:00 UTC

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC

2024-09-14 12:00 UTC

2024-09-15 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-11 15:00 UTC 2024-09-12 15:00 UTC 2024-09-13 15:00 UTC 2024-09-14 12:00 UTC

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-11 15:00 UTC

2024-09-12 15:00 UTC

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC

2024-09-14 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

  • For tomorrow’s flight:
    • all circles are forecasted to lie within the ITCZ
    • the two northern circles will likely sample the Doldrums
    • mostly shallow convection expected
  • For next flight:
    • southern edge of the ITCZ far south and close to land
    • position of northern edge of the ITCZ uncertain due to incoming tropical wave