PERCUSION Weather briefing

2024-09-08

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC

2024-09-09 12:00 UTC

2024-09-10 12:00 UTC

2024-09-11 12:00 UTC

2024-09-12 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC 2024-09-09 12:00 UTC 2024-09-10 12:00 UTC 2024-09-11 12:00 UTC

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC

2024-09-09 12:00 UTC

2024-09-10 12:00 UTC

2024-09-11 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

  • Tomorrow’s flight:
    • Northern circle should be placed a bit further north
    • Some uncertainty in northern moist margin position
    • Strong northern ITCZ edge with doldrums
  • Next flight:
    • Very uncertain forecast of ITCZ moist margins
    • Uncertainty stemming from tropical wave/disturbance