PERCUSION Weather briefing

2024-09-04

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-04 12:00 UTC

2024-09-05 12:00 UTC

2024-09-06 12:00 UTC

2024-09-07 12:00 UTC

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Saharan dust forecast

2024-09-04 12:00 UTC

2024-09-05 12:00 UTC

2024-09-06 12:00 UTC

2024-09-07 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

• Overall quite a lot of disturbances in the Atlantic
• Tomorrow’s transfer flight:
  • No substantial deep convection expected
  • Circles still placed at strongest gradient of integrated column water vapor
• Saturday’s flight starting from Barbados:
  • Textbook-like ITCZ structure
  • Forecast comparatively certain for flight’s location and long lead time