PERCUSION Weather briefing
Current synoptic situation
NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images
GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts
2024-09-25 15:00 UTC

2024-09-26 15:00 UTC

2024-09-27 15:00 UTC

2024-09-28 12:00 UTC

2024-09-29 12:00 UTC

2024-09-30 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth





Local forecast for Barbados

Summary
- Thursday’s flight (PI Jakob):
- Southeastern and south circle likely on moist margins.
- Northwestern and center circle inside moist margins.
- Deep convection expected over northwestern flight area
- Saturday’s flight (PI Julia):
- Western circles likely outside moist margins. Eastern circles likely inside moist margins Middle circles likely to sample the doldrums.
- No large areas of deep convection expected along the flight track.
- Possible tropical cyclone development to the north of the track.
Supporting figures
Horizontal surface wind convergence

Probabilistic precipitation forecast

Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast
