PERCUSION Weather briefing
Current synoptic situation
NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images
GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts
2024-09-24 15:00 UTC

2024-09-25 15:00 UTC

2024-09-26 15:00 UTC

2024-09-27 12:00 UTC

2024-09-28 12:00 UTC

2024-09-29 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth





Local forecast for Barbados

Summary
- Today’s flight (PI Anna):
- Deep convection and associated doldrums expected in Eastern circle
- Lower chance of deep convection on Earthcare track
- Thursday’s flight (PI Jakob):
- Circles appear to be well placed at the moist margins
- Deep convection expected in northwestern flight area
- Saturday’s flight (PI Julia):
- No ICWV>48mm and no deep convection around Earthcare track
- Chance to sample pronounced “dry-air” doldrums
Supporting figures
Horizontal surface wind convergence

Probabilistic precipitation forecast

Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast
