PERCUSION Weather briefing
Current synoptic situation
NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images
GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts
2024-09-21 15:00 UTC

2024-09-22 15:00 UTC

2024-09-23 15:00 UTC

2024-09-24 12:00 UTC

2024-09-25 12:00 UTC

2024-09-26 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth





Local forecast for Barbados

Summary
- Today’s flight (PI Raphaela):
- No significant deep convection expected
- Monday’s flight (PI Theresa):
- Certainly within the ITCZ moist margins, but outside the doldrums
- Strong deep convection expected
- Tuesday’s flight (PI Anna):
- Same conditions as during Theresa’s flight
- Some chance to sample the same convective system as Theresa’s flight
Supporting figures
Horizontal surface wind convergence

Probabilistic precipitation forecast

Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast
