PERCUSION Weather briefing
Current synoptic situation
NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

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ECMWF Forecasts
2024-09-04 12:00 UTC

2024-09-05 12:00 UTC

2024-09-06 12:00 UTC

2024-09-07 12:00 UTC

2024-09-08 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Saharan dust forecast





Local forecast for Barbados

Summary
- Overall quite a lot of disturbances in the Atlantic
- Tomorrow’s transfer flight:
- No substantial deep convection expected
- Circles still placed at strongest gradient of integrated column water vapor
- Saturday’s flight starting from Barbados:
- Textbook-like ITCZ structure
- Forecast comparatively certain for flight’s location and long lead time