PERCUSION Weather briefing

2024-09-23

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-23 15:00 UTC

2024-09-24 15:00 UTC

2024-09-25 15:00 UTC

2024-09-26 12:00 UTC

2024-09-27 12:00 UTC

2024-09-28 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-23 15:00 UTC

2024-09-24 15:00 UTC

2024-09-25 15:00 UTC

2024-09-26 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

• Today’s flight:
  • Inside the moist margins along a pronounced line of deep convection
  • Chance to sample localized doldrums
• Tomorrow’s flight:
  • Certainly inside the moist margins
  • Possibility of sampling organized line-like convection
• Later throughout the weak: Growing uncertainty due to tropical depression/storm AL96

Supporting figures

Horizontal surface wind convergence

Probabilistic precipitation forecast

Horizontal sfc. wind conv. & Prob. precip. forecast