PERCUSION Weather briefing

2024-09-12

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-12 15:00 UTC

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC

2024-09-14 15:00 UTC

2024-09-15 12:00 UTC

2024-09-16 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

Total aerosol optical depth

2024-09-12 15:00 UTC

2024-09-13 15:00 UTC

2024-09-14 15:00 UTC

2024-09-15 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Barbados

Summary

• Today’s flight:
  • Doldrums and fair weather conditions expected, confirming yesterday’s forecast
  • Latest satellite imagery confirms forecast
• Saturday’s flight:
  • Slight uncertainty in Northern moist margin associated with TD Seven
  • However, high likelyhood to sample a well-defined ITCZ
• Monday’s flight:
  • High uncertainty of moist margins due to TD Seven
  • No well defined ITCZ forecasted on satellite track