PERCUSION Weather briefing

2024-09-03

Current synoptic situation

NHC surface analysis

NHC tropical weather outlook

NHC tropical Hovmöller

Latest satellite images

GOES yesterday’s image

GOES latest image

GOES WEST Latest Infrared Image

ECMWF Forecasts

2024-09-03 12:00 UTC

2024-09-04 12:00 UTC

2024-09-05 12:00 UTC

2024-09-06 12:00 UTC

2024-09-07 12:00 UTC

Ensemble forecasts of moist margins

2024-09-03 12:00 UTC 2024-09-04 12:00 UTC 2024-09-05 12:00 UTC 2024-09-06 12:00 UTC

Saharan dust forecast

2024-09-03 12:00 UTC

2024-09-04 12:00 UTC

2024-09-05 12:00 UTC

2024-09-06 12:00 UTC

Local forecast for Sal

Summary

  • For today’s flight
    • ITCZ very wide, northern circle placed near the edge with strongest gradient
    • middle (and perhaps northern) circles prone to (strong) convective activity
    • ATR perhaps less convective, mid-level clouds
  • For tomorrow’s transfer flight
    • more or less along the strongest southern IWV gradient, no threat of storms